Tuesday, November 15, 2005

Joe Lost, and I'm Still Sorry

Yesterday the Senate reached a compromise on enemy combatants right to habeas corpus. There are two related votes and, at first blush, I'm ok with either of them. But what's also interesting is the civic lesson being played out. There's been a few posts on this blog about Bush's ratings and what that means. With the President recently hitting an all-time low, we're starting to see the fall-out, or pile-on, depending on your point of view. The Senate is now starting to reel in the broad authority it gave him just after 9/11. With language calling for Bush to explain what's happening in Iraq, and requiring him to report every three months on progress, restricting torture, and asking about secret detention centers, this is not the compliant Senate we've witnessed over the last five years. Also, the recent gubernatorial race in New Jersey saw the dem run an ad saying, "Doug Forrester, he's Bush's choice for Governor, is he yours?" And Forrester lost. Slamming your opponent as a Bush ally is a stark contrast to the Lousiana Senate race four years ago when both the Dem and Rep both ran largely on how much they would support Bush. The incumbant Dem, Landreau, even touted her high percentage of voting with the President as a reason to vote for her. A President's biggest weapons are his popularity and the bully pulpit. Bush's never been fond of talking to the people, at least not to a non-prescreened audience, and he's rested on his popularity numbers to get things done in congress. As long as his numbers stay down, and if he continues to be viewed as a liability, he will be in real trouble. And yes, I know that's an obvious statement.

1 comment:

StalinMalone said...

UBlo is dead solid perfect on his analysis. Bush has done a pathetic job communicating his positions over the past several months. The media has been almost alone on the soap box amplified by the Dems who smell blood. This has driven down Bush's numbers.

The Senate Republicans (never representative of the Right's base) have always been an impediment to Republican presidents. The only reason there has been agreement recently is because of the simplicity of the "war on terror". We all got it, and most reasonable folk agreed about it.

Now that the administration has seeded that ground to the critics, the Republicans see no reason to stick their necks out for anything as unmodern as principle. This is all quite expected. If Bush can communicate his positions (many of which are winners) his numbers will come up and the Republicans will fall somewhat in line. If he can't, then they'll just flail around for the next few years trying to influence what the next presidential candidate will look like.

It's all fairly silly if you ask me...but then I've never cared for reality TV.